lördag 1 mars 2014

End is Near for UK Royal Society and US National Academy

        The END IS NEAR for the science of the UK Royal Society and US National Academy. 

The U.S. National Academies of Science and the U.K. Royal Society have issued a joint report Climate Change Evidence and Causes. The Royal Society introduces the report with:
  • Climate change is one of the defining issues of our time. 
  • It is now more certain than ever, based on many lines of evidence, that humans are changing Earth’s climate. 
  • The atmosphere and oceans have warmed, accompanied by sea-level rise, a strong decline in Arctic sea ice, and other climate-related changes.
The report is framed around 20 questions starting out with the following fundaments:
  1. Is the climate warming?
  2. How do scientists know that recent climate change is largely caused by human activities?
The answer to Question 1 gives the scientific observation in a nutshell:
  • Yes. Earth’s average surface air temperature has increased by about 0.8 °C since 1900, with much of this increase taking place since the mid-1970s. 
The answer to Question 2 describes the theoretical science in a nutshell:
  • Scientists know that recent climate change is largely caused by human activities from an understanding of basic physics, comparing observations with models, and fingerprinting the detailed patterns of climate change caused by different human and natural influences. 
  • The expected changes in climate are based on our understanding of how greenhouse gases trap heat. 
  • Since the mid-1800s, scientists have known that CO2 is one of the main greenhouse gases of importance to Earth’s energy balance. 
  • Both this fundamental understanding of the physics of greenhouse gases and fingerprint studies show that natural causes alone 
We read that observations show a warming since 1900 of 0.8 C out of which 0.4 C is viewed as an effect of human induced CO2 since 1970, while the 0.4 C occuring before 1940 is unexplicable.

We read that the theory is basic physics understanding from 1850 that CO2 traps heat. We read that other causes than heat trapping CO2 are inadequate to explain the recent observed changes in climate. We read that human CO2 leaves theoretical fingerprint.

We see that the combined science in the US and UK is nothing but Penguin Logic of Penguin Science:
  • The less you know, there more sure you can be that you are right. The evidence is clear.
No wonder that the END IS NEAR, for Western civilization.

The central concept of the science propagated by the RS and NA is:
  • More CO2 will cause the Earth to warm by trapping (absorbing) more of the heat (infrared radiation) emitted from Earth's surface.
But trapping as absorption without emission is not something described in physics literature, because absorption comes together with emission as expressed by Kirchhoff's law stating that emisssion = absorption. The RS and NA as scientific societies thus are feeding the people disinformation, which cannot be within legal boundaries of a democratic open society. The RS and NA have trapped themselves into free fall of science and scientific credibility. To Newton at Trinity College in Cambridge as once the President of the RS, this is unthinkable:
  •  I can calculate the motion of heavenly bodies, but not the madness of people.

               Truth is ever to be found in simplicity, and not in the multiplicity and confusion of things.

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