söndag 21 juni 2020

Mathematics of Swedish Corona Strategy

Consider the follow record as of June 20 by Folkhälsomyndigheten in charge of Corona in Sweden: 

We see a total of 2333 Corona patients in intensive care and a total of 5053 dead in Corona, in Sweden, with a display of numbers in each 10-year age category in middle an right columns. If we add the number in intensive care to the number of dead in each age category from 50-59 to 90+, we get roughly the same total number, seemingly as an expression of some mathematical law of conservation. This is not so surprising: With intensive care lives may be saved, while without intensive care death may follow. It is reported that 70% of patients in intensive care survived.

In the group 50-59 there are few dead and many in intensive care, while for 80-89 and 90+ the numbers are opposite with very few in intensive care and many dead. But how can it be that the distribution is so different from 50-59 to 80+? It appears that older people have been discriminated from intensive care by some active decision process on the sole basis of age without consideration of physical condition. Is it so?  

 Compare with DN June 22: Patients have been prioritised away

Inga kommentarer:

Skicka en kommentar