lördag 5 december 2009

The Moment of Truth for the Royals

Everything is coming together this week: Copenhagen, Climategate and the Nobel Ceremony. It will be a busy week for the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences: Before handing out the Nobel Prizes on Saturday the Academy must revise its statement on climate change edorsing IPCC building on CRU.

The present standpoint of the Academy expressed on Nov 27 is: The Academy does not intend to revise its statement on the basis of criminal hacking of CRU.

The pressure on the Royal Society of London is building up as expressed by Bishop Hill:
  • This is an important moment for the Royal Society.  The evidence is clear - scientists at the CRU have misrepresented our understanding of the Earth's temperature history to policymakers. The Society must speak out now. If it does not, then the fellows must take a stand against the Society's leadership. Failing that the premier scientific body of the UK will forever be brushed aside as another mouthpiece for the environmental movement. 
IPCC chairman Pachauri has changed foot from denial to investigation. The Royals must do the same, if reason is to decide.

BBC reports in CRU's programming "way below expected standards" about the core of the Climategate: wrong mathematics vs correct mathematics. This is what the Copenhagen meeting will be all about: 20000 politicians discussing mathematics! Amazing! More thrilling BBC here: The debate is heating up!

Read Steven F. Hayward in the weekly Standard: Scientists behaving badly: 
  • Slowly and mostly unnoticed by the major news media, the air has been going out of the global warming balloon. 
  • Someone needs to break the bad news to the players that it's closing time for the climate horror show.
This includes the players at The Royal Swedish Academy.The fact that even Swedish Radio today reports on Climategate is the sign that the air is really leaking out...Still Swedish Minister of Environment Andreas Carlgren states: It is unthinkable that data underlying IPCC has been manipulated: Climategate means nothing...I rely on Pachauri and IPCC...but his voice is trembling...game over soon.

Recall the prophecy by MIT Professor Richard Lindzen made long before Climategate:
  • Future generations will wonder in bemused amazement that the early 21st century's developed world went into hysterical panic over a globally averaged temperature increase of a few tenths of a degree, and, on the basis of gross exaggerations of highly uncertain computer projections combined into implausible chains of inference, proceeded to contemplate a roll-back of the industrial age.
The wonder will concern in particular The Royal Society webpage still two weeks after Climategate, stating without any irony:
  • The UK is at the forefront of tackling dangerous climate change, underpinned by world class scientific expertise and advice. 
  • Climate scientists from the UK and across the world are in overwhelming agreement about the evidence of climate change, driven by the human input of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere.  

Obama prepares skipping Copenhagen by postponing his presence to the very last day, which by the UN organizers is viewed as a step forward. Just one more day and it will be all over...what is the point of coming to the bar at closing time?

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