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torsdag 17 oktober 2019

The Trauma of Paradoxes of Modern Physics


  • How wonderful that we have met with a paradox. Now we have some hope of making progress. (Niels Bohr)
Science appears to be filled with paradoxes, which it itself is a paradox, because true science should be free of paradox. For a true scientist a scientific paradox is thus something unbearable, which requires immediate action, because one paradox is enough to kill a whole theory.

There are logical paradoxes as contradiction between words and there are physical paradoxes as contradictions between theory and observation.

One logical paradox is enough to kill a mathematical theory. Thus Russell's paradox killed set theory as the foundation of mathematics in the early 20th century.

Zeno's paradox (still unresolved) of the arrow which is moving although it is not moving at every instant, triggered the development of Calculus, but with a delay of 2000 years!

One physical paradox is enough to kill a physical theory as a mathematical theory about phenomena of physics, all according to the famous physicist Feynman:
  • It doesn't matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn't matter how smart you are. If it doesn't agree with experiment, it's wrong.
If theory does not at all fit with reality, then something is fundamentally wrong with the theory, not the other way around.

A paradox may be thus devastating to existing theory, while leading to new better theory by focussing on weak points.

Yet, the list of physical paradoxes has remained through the development of modern physics and in fact have multiplied since modern physics is loaded with many more paradoxes than classical rational physics, as if modern physics is irrational. Thus the pillars of modern physics in the form of relativity theory and quantum mechanics are both filled with paradoxes, which have remained unresolved for 100 years. This has formed the deep trauma of modern physics with no escape from ever more paradoxes.

Niels Bohr was a master of handling the many paradoxes of quantum mechanics lifting sophistry to a new level with his "complementarity principle" addressing the wave-particle contradiction with murky statements like:
  • The opposite of a correct statement is a false statement. But the opposite of a profound truth may well be another profound truth.
While classical physicists had to come to grips with paradoxes, in one way or the other, modern physicists appear to welcome paradoxes as a sign of deep magical physics as opposed to shallow understandable classical physics.

The first defence line for a classical physicist is to simply deny the existence of a paradox formulated by some renegades. The next is to accept that there is indeed a paradox and then come up with an ad hoc explanation for the contradiction between theory and reality, showing that the contradiction is in fact only apparent, but not really real. If the ad hoc explanation is refuted, a new ad hoc explanation is presented and so on.

For a modern physicist, a paradox thus poses no real problem, but of course it is some kind of nuisance and so occasionally may get some attention. Like the Twin Paradox of special relativity discussed in earlier posts, unresolved since 100 years.

The prime paradox of fluid mechanics is d'Alembert's paradox comparing the prediction of zero resistance to motion through a fluid from potential flow solutions to Euler's equations of slightly viscous flow like air and water, with the observation of heavy resistance increasing quadratically with velocity.

The paradox was formulated by d'Alembert in 1755 but nobody was able to come up with a resolution until the young German fluid mechanician Ludwig Prandtl in 1904 came up with the ad hoc solution to discriminate the zero drag potential solution of Euler's equations because potential flow does not satisfy a no-slip boundary condition coming with a thin boundary layer. With the potential solution thus eliminated form the discussion, the paradox simply disappeared. But the act of discrimination of solutions of the Euler equations of course was not so glorious. Discrimination of prefect exact solutions on formal grounds carries the same weakness as discrimination of good citizens on purely formal grounds.

In 2008 we gave a different resolution of d'Alembert's paradox than Prandtl's, based on the fact that potential solutions of the Euler equations are unstable and thus turn into turbulent solutions with substantial pressure drag. This was not discrimination on formal grounds, but on real grounds; an unstable solution does not persist over time. This opened to a revolution in computational fluid dynamics freed from a perceived necessity to computationally resolve unresolvable thin boundary layers.

You find on this web site, if you are interested and make a search, resolutions of the following paradoxes:
  • D'Alembert's paradox and other paradoxes of fluid mechanics.
  • The Reversibility paradox of classical and quantum mechanics (Loschmidt's paradox) 
  • Paradoxes of special relativity including the Twin paradox.
  • Paradoxes of wave-particle and collapse of the wave function of quantum mechanics.
Yes, it is wonderful to discover a paradox and even more wonderful to resolve it!


torsdag 3 januari 2013

How to Interprete an Atmospheric Radiance Spectrum

The thermal emisson spectrum of the Earth + atmosphere measured by the IRIS Michelson interferometer instrument on the Nimbus 4 space craft over three different regions, takes the following form:

The curves shows the radiance (in mW/m2 and 1/cm) per unit wave number as function of wavenumber, and are computed from interferometer measurements of temperature using Planck's law of blackbody radiation.

The basic measurement thus concerns temperature and not radiance, but the computed radiance spectra  are commonly taken as observed rates of emission of energy. For example, the dip in the spectrum around wavenumber 700 is interpreted as "blocking" energy transfer or "trapping" energy by atmospheric CO2 as a Greenhouse Gas Effect GHE causing global warming, and the size of the dip is used to suggest alarm. We argue below that this inflates the role of the trace gas CO2.

But sticking to the true the measurements of temperature gives the following somewhat different interpretation:

The temperature of 220 K at the bottom of the dip around wavenumber 700 is the temperature of the tropopause, suggesting that the Earth + tropopause can be be viewed as a blackbody with a spectrum following the 220 K curve with total radiation of 140 W/m2. The radiation above the 220 K curve of a total of 100 W/m2  would then correspond to 40 W/m2 directly radiated to outer space from the Earth surface through the atmospheric window (wave numbers larger than 800), and 60 W/m2 from water vapor in the atmosphere (wave numbers smaller than 550).

The total would be 240 W/m2 absorbed by the Earth+troposphere with 180 W/m2 absorbed by the Earth surface. The role of combined thermodynamics and radiation within the troposphere would then be to transport 140 W/m2 from the Earth surface to the tropopause, with an estimated 120 by thermodynamics of convection and evaporation/condensation, thus mainly by thermodynamics.

The effect of the thermodynamics would then be a reduction of the dry adiabatic lapse rate of 10 C/km to the observed 6.5 C/km, with the drop increasing with the vigor of the thermodynamics.

A change of the radiative properties of the atmosphere could then have an effect on (i) the temperature of the tropopause as the outer boundary of the Earth + atmosphere system, and (ii) the lapse rate, which together would determine the Earth surface temperature.

A decrease of the transparency of the atmosphere would decrease the atmospheric window and thus demand an increase of the temperature of the tropopause, while at the same time demand more vigorous thermodynamics decreasing the lapse. The net effect could be interpreted as radiative warming with negative feedback cooling from thermodynamics, thus with potentially a small net effect. In other words, the climate sensitivity could very well be small.

The purpose of the argument is to seek to assess the Earth surface temperature from lapse rate and temperature of the tropopause as an (effective) outer boundary of the Earth + atmosphere as a blackbody, without more precise (difficult) modeling of the combined thermodynamics/radiation within the atmosphere. This analysis indicates that the Earth surface temperature may be insensitive to even quite large perturbations of atmospheric composition and insolation.

It is also an attempt to get away from the notions of "effective emission altitude" (at 5 km) and "effective emission temperature" (255 K) as fictitious entities which cannot be measured and have no physical correspondence (as compared to the tropopause which has a physical reality).

Notice that with an ideal blackbody as a universal thermometer, the temperature of a given body would be measured by radiative equilibrium with the universal thermometer at a certain temperature defined by no radiative transfer of energy between the body and the thermometer. The absorptivity/emissivity of the body would then not affect the temperature reading, but would be directly connected to the radiance of the body. Without knowing the absorptivity/emissivity, it would thus be impossible to tell the effective radiance of a body from its temperature. The above radiance plots constructed from temperature readings assuming absorptivity = emissivity = 1, may thus not represent reality. In particular, the emissivity of CO2 as a trace gas must be very small, and the radiation from the troposphere even within the 550-800 band of CO2, must emanate from the whole atmosphere, not only CO2. In other words, the radiance dip between 550 and 800 would be due to CO2 only to a small extent, and the alarm balloon would collapse.

onsdag 2 januari 2013

Faint Young Sun Paradox Resolved



The faint young Sun paradox describes the apparent contradiction between observations of liquid water early in the Earth's history and the astrophysical expectation that the Sun's output would be only 70% as intense during that epoch as it is during the modern epoch. The issue was raised by astronomers Carl Sagan and George Mullen in 1972.

The analysis of the lapse rate in earlier posts suggests the following resolution of the paradox:

A reduction of 30% of the insolation could mean a reduction from 180 to 125 W/m2 absorbed by the Earth surface, and a reduction of 140 to 100 W/m2 to be radiated from the tropopause, assuming 40 W/m2 directly radiated through the atmospheric window in both cases. 

This would require a drop in the temperature of the tropopause from - 50 C to - 68 C (from 223 K to 205 K by Stefan-Boltzmann with 223 =(140/5.66)^0.25 x 100). The Earth surface temperature could then remain at + 15 C if the lapse rate increased from the present 6.5 C/km to 8.3 C/km (with the tropopause at 10 km altitude). 

The maximal lapse rate is 10 C/km and could be attained in an atmosphere without thermodynamics, in an atmosphere at rest without motion of the air, with heat transfer by conduction and radiation but no thermodynamics of convection and evaporation/condensation. 

An effect of thermodynamics in the present atmosphere can thus be viewed as a reduction of the lapse rate from 10 to 6.5 C/km with the difference increasing with the vigor of the thermodynamics. With a less vigorous atmosphere the lapse rate could thus increase from 6.5 to 8.3 C/km and thus sustain the same surface temperature with only 70% of the input from the Sun of today. 

In the extreme case of an atmosphere without motion with a lapse rate of 10 C/km,  a 50% Sun would thus be enough to sustain comfortable organic life at + 15 C, thus very early in the history of the solar system.  Organic life is supposed to be 4 billion years old, apparently ignited by a young 50% Sun. 

The argument supports the idea of the thermodynamics of the atmosphere as an air conditioner acting to reduce the lapse rate and thus cool the Earth surface as the inside, with the the tropopause as the outside with a temperature set by the input via Stefan-Boltzmann.

PS Several unsuccessful attempts to resolve the paradox have been presented recently:
  • Early Earth Atmosphere: Right mix of greenhouse gases (Nathan Sheldon) 
  • Geology: Much more geothermal energy 
  • Biology: Life developed on a cold planet (John Priscu)
  • Fundamental Physics: e.g., gravitational constant has varied 
  • Astrophysical Solutions: Young Sun was not faint.