fredag 27 november 2009

Thermodynamics of Global Climate Politics without Science

Global climate is a thermodynamic process driven by the Sun and the rotation of the Earth in an endless battle between forces seeking to increase or decrease differences in heat, kinetic and chemical energies. A battle between hot-cold, wet-dry, fast-slow, salt-sweet, high-low, condensation-evaporation, absorption-emisson...

Is it possible to understand also global climate politics as a thermodynamic process between forces resulting from differences in natural resources, manpower, technology, political system...? Yes, probably with the main difference being that between the rich and the poor, West and East, North and South: the difference between the developed world and the developing world.

The political leaders of the World are now gathering in Copenhagen seems to have a common interest in putting a global tax on CO2, however with different motivations:
  • The developing world expects a net flow of money from the developed world to go green.
  • The developed world expects to put a limit on the use of fossil energy in the developing world, to make fossil energy last longer/not become too expensive.
The developed world wants to maintain a difference to the developing world, while the developing world wants to decrease this difference. The leaders may come to an agreement, but with different conflicting underlying agendas. Like the global climate this is a chaotic system for which prediction is very difficult, except that the conflicting agendas will lead to a lot of trouble and wasted resources, which could instead have been used to improve the World.

A further deconstruction of climate politics is given by Lorrie Goldstien in Toronto StarIf you're wondering how the robot-like march of the world's politicians towards Copenhagen can possibly continue in the face of the scientific scandal dubbed "climategate," it's because Big Government, Big Business and Big Green don't give a s*** about "the science." 

This analysis is supported by the announcement by Professor and climate alarmist Markku Rummukainen SMHI in  SvD:
  • Even if data were fabricated, the knowledge basis of climate change would not change, not at all.
Ergo: Climate politics has nothing to do with climate science. And of course our Prime Minister Fredrik Reinfeldt does not read the Toronto Star, only SvD and DN. And in SVT Debatt 26/11 we hear Anders Wijkman say: 
  • We have to listen to what scientists say. It does not look good. If it is so that Nature requires what market economy cannot deliver, then we must do something else...we cannot negotiate with Nature...
Not a word about Climategate, in Sweden. The idea is to keep out anything that could disturb Reinfeldt as he now will lead the World to a climate agreement, without climate science. 

But if everybody in Copenhagen will know about Climategate, wouldn't Reinfeldt look silly if he is the only one who doesn't know?

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