- Radiative forcing dQ from doubled CO2 = 4 W/m2 from the formula dQ = 6.3 log(2).
- No-feedback climate sensitivity dT = 1 C by Stefan-Boltzmann in the form dQ = 4 dT.
- Feedback factor 1.5 - 4.5 resulting in dT = 1.5 - 4.5 C with mean value dT = 3 C.
måndag 5 september 2011
The Basic Scientific Errors of IPCC
Proof by IPCC of the existence of the Loch Ness monster of global warming.
IPCC CO2 alarmism is based on an estimate of climate sensitivity of 1.5 - 4.5 C with a best estimate of 3 C as the global warming from doubled CO2. This estimate is based on the following argument chain:
In the previous post I gave evidence that the formula dQ = 6.3 log(2) does not fit with observation of radiation spectra, which instead indicate that dQ < 1 W/m2. So 1. is incorrect
and accordingly the formula dQ = 6.3 log(2) has no scientific motivation.
Next, 2. is simply a definition without specified connection to reality since Stefan-Boltzmann's
law for an ideal blackbody is not a model of global climate with any predictive value. So 2. has no scientific meaning beyond a definition and thus says nothing about reality.
Finally, the feedback factor of about 3 is simply invented and has no scientific support.
The net result is none of the steps of the argument chain 1. - 3. underlying CO2 alarmism can be motivated on scientific grounds, and thus that the IPCC alarm of 3 C is three-fold without scientific value, as little scientific value as a picture of the Loch Ness monster.
See also the LHC Cloud Experiment.