- The Met Office is to abandon its long-term and seasonal forecasting after criticism for failing to predict extreme weather.
fredag 5 mars 2010
Met Office Scraps Seasonal Forecasts
Bishop Hill reports that the Met Office reports that seasonal forecasts have been scrapped:
Bishop Hill then asks the natural question how it is possible for the Met Office to make long-time
predictions of the climate, if seasonal predictions are impossible. I have discussed this question in previous posts on Short-Time vs Long-Time Accuracy, with the conclusion that only in very special cases is it possible that long-time accuracy is possible without short-time accurcay.
The Met Office maybe should scrap also its long-time climate forecasts, and stick to its main mission of daily forcasts.
But the Met Office counters the scrapped seasonal forecasts by sending out renewed long-time AGW alarm: Climate Change Human Link Even "Stronger".
What does the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences say? No collapse of any AGW science in sight?